Vietnam has seen a significant decline in birth rates, in which the fertility rate in 2023 was estimated at 1.96 children per woman, the lowest in the nation’s history, with projections indicating further decreases, said Deputy Minister of Health Tran Van Thuan.
This statement was made during the launch of the National Action Month for Population and the celebration of Vietnam’s Population Day (December 26), held on December 10 by the Ministry of Health in cooperation with Hanoi’s People’s Committee.
Deputy Minister Thuan noted that population management is facing numerous difficulties and challenges, with several population issues directly impacting social life and Vietnam’s sustainable development.
He pointed out that while the rapid increase in the sex ratio at birth has been controlled, it remains high with no signs of reduction. In 2023, the ratio was 112 boys for every 100 girls). Furthermore, the country is experiencing a rapidly aging population, nearing the end of its “golden population period.”
Looking ahead to 2025 and beyond, the country will continue to face greater challenges, and many population targets may be difficult to achieve, he added.
UNFPA Representative in Vietnam Matt Jackson cited research by the General Statistics Office and UNFPA as indicating that Vietnam is still in the “golden population” phase, where each dependent is supported by two working-age individuals. However, Vietnam’s population has been aging since 2011, and at a much faster rate compared to other countries.
It is predicted that Vietnam will become an aging society by 2036 and a “super-aged” society by 2049. Additionally, the country is entering a period of low fertility, with a total fertility rate (TFR) of 1.96 in 2023. (Dan Tri, Bao Ha Tinh, Dang Cong San, VTV, Kinh Te Do Thi)